Scenario: Penguins in New York
The penguins at New York zoo are planning an audacious escape attempt
to the wild. It is essential for success of the operation that only fit
penguins participate, whilst ill birds must remain in the zoo. Of the
100 penguins planning their escape, 17 test seropositive for Salmonella
madigastica and 83 seronegative. The chief penguin demands further
molecular testing which reveals 1/17 of the seropositive penguins does
NOT have Salmonellosis, whilst 7/83 of the seronegative penguins HAVE
Salmonellosis.
(In this exercise we assume the molecular test is a gold standard for Salmonella in penguins).
Complete the table by typing the numbers into the contingency table. Use the calculator if required.
Salmonella |
Molecular test + |
Molecular test - | Total |
Serologic test + |
a |
b |
|
Serologic test - | c |
d |
|
Total |
|
|
|
Calculator:
98.7 %
| |
94.1 %
| |
17.0 % | |
91.6 %
| |
99.2 %
|
98.7 %
| |
94.1 %
| |
87.0 %
| |
91.6 %
| |
99.2 % |
17.0 %
| |
23.0 %
| |
13.7 %
| |
11.1 %
| |
69.5 %
|
17.0 %
| |
23.0 %
| |
13.7 %
| |
11.1 %
| |
16.0 %
|